Bayes’ Theorem is used to predict conditional probabilities, so it’s no surprise that it is being called upon to find the missing Malaysia Airlines flight 370. The theorem was designed to predict all possibilities and allow for revisions to further hone in on each scenario, something which is necessary when trying to locate a wreckage in open water. The theorem will detail an entire scenario and draw out specifics of what a person is looking for versus what they are not. Tide and current are able to be factored in with mathematical precision. The theorem has been used to find gold, sunken submarines and a previous airline wreckage, as well. It successfully found the missing Air France flight 477 en route from Rio de Janeiro in 2009.
Although providing a positive twist to a dismal event; officials still fear they may not find the missing aircraft. It took time and patience (almost 2 years) to locate the Air France flight in the Atlantic. The Indian Ocean provides more uncertainty, because of its ravenous weather and strong currents.